ARES
As-of 2026-05-22 · run #10
Visualise data
Historical rows from the featured store. Choose up to three series; hover a point for the value at that date.
Probabilities · 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.1429 | 0 | 0.219 |
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.0925 | 0 | 0.417 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.1177 | — | 0.318 |
Probabilities · 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.2696 | 0 | 0.403 |
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.3008 | 1 | 0.263 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.2852 | — | 0.333 |
Probabilities · 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.1536 | 0 | 0.178 |
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.016 | 0 | 0.607 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0848 | — | 0.392 |
Probabilities · 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.6306 | 1 | 0.159 |
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.5944 | 1 | 0.297 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.6125 | — | 0.228 |
Probabilities · 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.19 | 0 | 0.266 |
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.2871 | 1 | 0.242 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.2385 | — | 0.254 |
Probabilities · 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0249 | 0 | 0.323 |
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | sector | financials | 0.0586 | 0 | 0.41 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0417 | — | 0.367 |
All models · summary
One row per trained target: mean P and mean threshold after combining global and sector. Bottom row averages those across models.
| Model | Mean P (global+sector) | Mean thresh (global+sector) |
|---|---|---|
| 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain | 0.1177 | 0.318 |
| 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain | 0.2852 | 0.333 |
| 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain | 0.0848 | 0.392 |
| 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain | 0.6125 | 0.228 |
| 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain | 0.2385 | 0.254 |
| 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain | 0.0417 | 0.367 |
| Mean across models | 0.2301 | 0.315 |
Inputs & features (prediction_snapshot)
Same calendar row as inference (snapshot stored at prediction time, or live query).
1. open
124.67
2. high
126.0
3. low
123.5975
4. close
124.41
5. adjusted close
124.41
6. volume
1751004.0
7. dividend amount
0.0
8. split coefficient
1.0
ADX_14_ADX
21.1947
adx_sma_buy
0
adx_strong_trend
0
adx_strong_trend_count_14
0.0
adx_strong_trend_count_30
8.0
adx_strong_trend_count_7
0.0
bb_buy
0
bb_buy_count_14
0.0
bb_buy_count_30
0.0
bb_buy_count_7
0.0
bb_rsi_buy
0
bb_sell
0
bb_sell_count_14
0.0
bb_sell_count_30
4.0
bb_sell_count_7
0.0
BBANDS_20_Real Lower Band
112.1982
BBANDS_20_Real Middle Band
121.368
BBANDS_20_Real Upper Band
130.5378
cal_dow
4.0
cal_is_month_end
0.0
cal_month
5.0
corr_spy_60
0.4446078773259216
econ_cpi_value
333.02
econ_fed_funds_value
3.64
econ_tsy_10y_value
4.32
econ_tsy_3m_value
3.7
econ_unemployment_value
4.3
excess_ret_vs_spy_20
0.03802279959900168
excess_ret_vs_spy_60
0.007319123414438855
fib_buy_signal
0
gics_sector
financials
gics_sub_industry
asset_management_&_custody_banks
ichimoku_buy
1
ichimoku_sell
0
macd_buy
0
macd_buy_count_14
10.0
macd_buy_count_30
26.0
macd_buy_count_7
3.0
MACD_MACD
2.5461
MACD_MACD_Hist
-0.3025
MACD_MACD_Signal
2.8486
macd_sell
1
macd_sell_count_14
4.0
macd_sell_count_30
4.0
macd_sell_count_7
4.0
OBV_OBV
127906467.0
price_vs_roll7
0.004162534879958768
roc_30
0.2384033446147722
roc_7
0.00998538723818787
rolling_avg_30
119.65333333333334
rolling_avg_7
123.89428571428572
RSI_14_RSI
57.3569
rsi_buy
0
rsi_buy_count_14
0.0
rsi_buy_count_30
0.0
rsi_buy_count_7
0.0
rsi_macd_buy
0
rsi_sell
0
rsi_sell_count_14
0.0
rsi_sell_count_30
0.0
rsi_sell_count_7
0.0
sma_200_gradient_14
-0.2764571428571441
sma_200_gradient_30
-0.2757000000000005
sma_200_gradient_7
-0.2880714285714297
SMA_200_SMA
143.515
sma_50_gradient_14
0.2670714285714289
sma_50_gradient_30
-0.06457999999999989
sma_50_gradient_7
0.33174285714285645
SMA_50_SMA
113.7766
sma_death_cross
1
sma_death_cross_count_14
14.0
sma_death_cross_count_30
30.0
sma_death_cross_count_7
7.0
sma_golden_cross
0
sma_golden_cross_count_14
0.0
sma_golden_cross_count_30
0.0
sma_golden_cross_count_7
0.0
sma_overlap_14
0
sma_overlap_30
0
sma_overlap_7
0
spy_ret_vol_20
0.006491488605770184
STOCHRSI_14_FastD
68.8065
STOCHRSI_14_FastK
100.0
stochrsi_buy
0
stochrsi_buy_count_14
7.0
stochrsi_buy_count_30
12.0
stochrsi_buy_count_7
4.0
stochrsi_macd_buy
0
stochrsi_sell
1
stochrsi_sell_count_14
6.0
stochrsi_sell_count_30
16.0
stochrsi_sell_count_7
3.0
stock_daily_ret
0.0033873699491895337
stock_ret_sum_20
0.08191383789521667
stock_ret_sum_60
0.0912287512361325
sven_beta_buy
0
volatility_30
5.114741597500788
volatility_7
2.344254374302387
volume_avg_30
3012523.933333333
volume_avg_7
2004637.857142857
volume_profile_buy
0
vwma_buy
1
vwma_buy_count_14
12.0
vwma_buy_count_30
26.0
vwma_buy_count_7
5.0
vwma_sell
0
vwma_sell_count_14
2.0
vwma_sell_count_30
4.0
vwma_sell_count_7
2.0
xs_z_price_vs_roll7
-0.3478301202870702
xs_z_roc_30
1.082119938202444
xs_z_volatility_30
-0.2596278794359775