ESS
As-of 2026-05-22 · run #10
Visualise data
Historical rows from the featured store. Choose up to three series; hover a point for the value at that date.
Probabilities · 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.034 | 0 | 0.219 |
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.0415 | 0 | 0.279 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0377 | — | 0.249 |
Probabilities · 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.1538 | 0 | 0.403 |
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.0286 | 0 | 0.285 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0912 | — | 0.344 |
Probabilities · 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0087 | 0 | 0.178 |
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.0118 | 0 | 0.12 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0103 | — | 0.149 |
Probabilities · 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.4137 | 1 | 0.159 |
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.3685 | 1 | 0.307 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.3911 | — | 0.233 |
Probabilities · 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0703 | 0 | 0.266 |
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.0379 | 0 | 0.123 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0541 | — | 0.194 |
Probabilities · 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0089 | 0 | 0.323 |
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | sector | real_estate | 0.0 | 0 | 0.423 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0045 | — | 0.373 |
All models · summary
One row per trained target: mean P and mean threshold after combining global and sector. Bottom row averages those across models.
| Model | Mean P (global+sector) | Mean thresh (global+sector) |
|---|---|---|
| 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain | 0.0377 | 0.249 |
| 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain | 0.0912 | 0.344 |
| 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain | 0.0103 | 0.149 |
| 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain | 0.3911 | 0.233 |
| 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain | 0.0541 | 0.194 |
| 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain | 0.0045 | 0.373 |
| Mean across models | 0.0981 | 0.257 |
Inputs & features (prediction_snapshot)
Same calendar row as inference (snapshot stored at prediction time, or live query).
1. open
274.92
2. high
277.93
3. low
273.45
4. close
276.7
5. adjusted close
276.7
6. volume
367987.0
7. dividend amount
0.0
8. split coefficient
1.0
ADX_14_ADX
33.5503
adx_sma_buy
1
adx_strong_trend
1
adx_strong_trend_count_14
14.0
adx_strong_trend_count_30
16.0
adx_strong_trend_count_7
7.0
bb_buy
0
bb_buy_count_14
0.0
bb_buy_count_30
0.0
bb_buy_count_7
0.0
bb_rsi_buy
0
bb_sell
0
bb_sell_count_14
0.0
bb_sell_count_30
3.0
bb_sell_count_7
0.0
BBANDS_20_Real Lower Band
258.7995
BBANDS_20_Real Middle Band
268.0535
BBANDS_20_Real Upper Band
277.3075
cal_dow
4.0
cal_is_month_end
0.0
cal_month
5.0
corr_spy_60
0.2764896096033638
econ_cpi_value
333.02
econ_fed_funds_value
3.64
econ_tsy_10y_value
4.32
econ_tsy_3m_value
3.7
econ_unemployment_value
4.3
excess_ret_vs_spy_20
0.03812882854872235
excess_ret_vs_spy_60
-0.016888521773130716
fib_buy_signal
0
gics_sector
real_estate
gics_sub_industry
multi_family_residential_reits
ichimoku_buy
1
ichimoku_sell
0
macd_buy
1
macd_buy_count_14
14.0
macd_buy_count_30
30.0
macd_buy_count_7
7.0
MACD_MACD
5.234
MACD_MACD_Hist
0.3426
MACD_MACD_Signal
4.8914
macd_sell
0
macd_sell_count_14
0.0
macd_sell_count_30
0.0
macd_sell_count_7
0.0
OBV_OBV
162009962.0
price_vs_roll7
0.01621729389975446
roc_30
0.10649018274883026
roc_7
0.017503861145840904
rolling_avg_30
263.0146666666667
rolling_avg_7
272.28428571428566
RSI_14_RSI
68.1143
rsi_buy
0
rsi_buy_count_14
0.0
rsi_buy_count_30
0.0
rsi_buy_count_7
0.0
rsi_macd_buy
0
rsi_sell
0
rsi_sell_count_14
0.0
rsi_sell_count_30
1.0
rsi_sell_count_7
0.0
sma_200_gradient_14
0.013464285714286055
sma_200_gradient_30
-0.04431000000000059
sma_200_gradient_7
0.08448571428571329
SMA_200_SMA
254.052
sma_50_gradient_14
0.33492857142857296
sma_50_gradient_30
0.21670666666666705
sma_50_gradient_7
0.41192857142857114
SMA_50_SMA
255.5439
sma_death_cross
0
sma_death_cross_count_14
9.0
sma_death_cross_count_30
25.0
sma_death_cross_count_7
2.0
sma_golden_cross
1
sma_golden_cross_count_14
5.0
sma_golden_cross_count_30
5.0
sma_golden_cross_count_7
5.0
sma_overlap_14
0
sma_overlap_30
0
sma_overlap_7
0
spy_ret_vol_20
0.006491488605770184
STOCHRSI_14_FastD
90.2805
STOCHRSI_14_FastK
100.0
stochrsi_buy
0
stochrsi_buy_count_14
2.0
stochrsi_buy_count_30
5.0
stochrsi_buy_count_7
1.0
stochrsi_macd_buy
0
stochrsi_sell
1
stochrsi_sell_count_14
6.0
stochrsi_sell_count_30
11.0
stochrsi_sell_count_7
2.0
stock_daily_ret
0.01059167275383488
stock_ret_sum_20
0.08201986684493734
stock_ret_sum_60
0.06702110604856293
sven_beta_buy
0
volatility_30
8.391735562268545
volatility_7
3.4361842070646906
volume_avg_30
467305.3
volume_avg_7
555923.7142857143
volume_profile_buy
0
vwma_buy
1
vwma_buy_count_14
14.0
vwma_buy_count_30
30.0
vwma_buy_count_7
7.0
vwma_sell
0
vwma_sell_count_14
0.0
vwma_sell_count_30
0.0
vwma_sell_count_7
0.0
xs_z_price_vs_roll7
0.07425914113996471
xs_z_roc_30
0.32465317429976176
xs_z_volatility_30
-0.14078633792489634