ULTA
As-of 2026-05-22 · run #10
Visualise data
Historical rows from the featured store. Choose up to three series; hover a point for the value at that date.
Probabilities · 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.1898 | 0 | 0.219 |
| target_15d_10_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.1824 | 0 | 0.336 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.1861 | — | 0.277 |
Probabilities · 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.3624 | 0 | 0.403 |
| target_30d_10_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.3058 | 1 | 0.219 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.3341 | — | 0.311 |
Probabilities · 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0639 | 0 | 0.178 |
| target_30d_20_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.0864 | 0 | 0.412 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0752 | — | 0.295 |
Probabilities · 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | global | global | 0.5522 | 1 | 0.159 |
| target_60d_10_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.4879 | 1 | 0.395 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.5201 | — | 0.277 |
Probabilities · 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | global | global | 0.1832 | 0 | 0.266 |
| target_60d_20_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.1715 | 0 | 0.354 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.1773 | — | 0.31 |
Probabilities · 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain
| Target | Scope | Model key | P(pos) | Pred | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | global | global | 0.0514 | 0 | 0.323 |
| target_60d_30_perc_gain | sector | consumer_discretionary | 0.109 | 0 | 0.265 |
| — | Mean (global + sector) | — | 0.0802 | — | 0.294 |
All models · summary
One row per trained target: mean P and mean threshold after combining global and sector. Bottom row averages those across models.
| Model | Mean P (global+sector) | Mean thresh (global+sector) |
|---|---|---|
| 15d / 10% target_15d_10_perc_gain | 0.1861 | 0.277 |
| 30d / 10% target_30d_10_perc_gain | 0.3341 | 0.311 |
| 30d / 20% target_30d_20_perc_gain | 0.0752 | 0.295 |
| 60d / 10% target_60d_10_perc_gain | 0.5201 | 0.277 |
| 60d / 20% target_60d_20_perc_gain | 0.1773 | 0.31 |
| 60d / 30% target_60d_30_perc_gain | 0.0802 | 0.294 |
| Mean across models | 0.2288 | 0.294 |
Inputs & features (prediction_snapshot)
Same calendar row as inference (snapshot stored at prediction time, or live query).
1. open
506.6
2. high
518.0
3. low
505.06
4. close
515.04
5. adjusted close
515.04
6. volume
481556.0
7. dividend amount
0.0
8. split coefficient
1.0
ADX_14_ADX
33.1292
adx_sma_buy
0
adx_strong_trend
1
adx_strong_trend_count_14
14.0
adx_strong_trend_count_30
24.0
adx_strong_trend_count_7
7.0
bb_buy
0
bb_buy_count_14
1.0
bb_buy_count_30
1.0
bb_buy_count_7
0.0
bb_rsi_buy
0
bb_sell
0
bb_sell_count_14
0.0
bb_sell_count_30
3.0
bb_sell_count_7
0.0
BBANDS_20_Real Lower Band
476.0124
BBANDS_20_Real Middle Band
514.3368
BBANDS_20_Real Upper Band
552.6611
cal_dow
4.0
cal_is_month_end
0.0
cal_month
5.0
corr_spy_60
0.32426078000430236
econ_cpi_value
333.02
econ_fed_funds_value
3.64
econ_tsy_10y_value
4.32
econ_tsy_3m_value
3.7
econ_unemployment_value
4.3
excess_ret_vs_spy_20
-0.121315642831342
excess_ret_vs_spy_60
-0.3637784586856462
fib_buy_signal
0
gics_sector
consumer_discretionary
gics_sub_industry
other_specialty_retail
ichimoku_buy
0
ichimoku_sell
1
macd_buy
1
macd_buy_count_14
1.0
macd_buy_count_30
16.0
macd_buy_count_7
1.0
MACD_MACD
-13.2468
MACD_MACD_Hist
0.6455
MACD_MACD_Signal
-13.8924
macd_sell
0
macd_sell_count_14
13.0
macd_sell_count_30
14.0
macd_sell_count_7
6.0
OBV_OBV
79980429.0
price_vs_roll7
0.04012463216201967
roc_30
-0.01026173181136869
roc_7
0.04652084243464838
rolling_avg_30
526.9275
rolling_avg_7
495.1714285714285
RSI_14_RSI
48.2037
rsi_buy
0
rsi_buy_count_14
1.0
rsi_buy_count_30
1.0
rsi_buy_count_7
1.0
rsi_macd_buy
0
rsi_sell
0
rsi_sell_count_14
0.0
rsi_sell_count_30
0.0
rsi_sell_count_7
0.0
sma_200_gradient_14
-0.018999999999997335
sma_200_gradient_30
0.17968333333333247
sma_200_gradient_7
-0.09211428571429028
SMA_200_SMA
567.1495
sma_50_gradient_14
-3.148285714285708
sma_50_gradient_30
-2.888439999999999
sma_50_gradient_7
-3.0340428571428544
SMA_50_SMA
526.5039
sma_death_cross
1
sma_death_cross_count_14
13.0
sma_death_cross_count_30
13.0
sma_death_cross_count_7
7.0
sma_golden_cross
0
sma_golden_cross_count_14
1.0
sma_golden_cross_count_30
17.0
sma_golden_cross_count_7
0.0
sma_overlap_14
0
sma_overlap_30
0
sma_overlap_7
0
spy_ret_vol_20
0.006491488605770184
STOCHRSI_14_FastD
100.0
STOCHRSI_14_FastK
100.0
stochrsi_buy
0
stochrsi_buy_count_14
4.0
stochrsi_buy_count_30
9.0
stochrsi_buy_count_7
1.0
stochrsi_macd_buy
0
stochrsi_sell
1
stochrsi_sell_count_14
5.0
stochrsi_sell_count_30
12.0
stochrsi_sell_count_7
3.0
stock_daily_ret
0.021803392520583165
stock_ret_sum_20
-0.077424604535127
stock_ret_sum_60
-0.27986883086395253
sven_beta_buy
0
volatility_30
25.766757210699204
volatility_7
12.29945856338297
volume_avg_30
681927.6333333333
volume_avg_7
695570.4285714285
volume_profile_buy
0
vwma_buy
1
vwma_buy_count_14
1.0
vwma_buy_count_30
11.0
vwma_buy_count_7
1.0
vwma_sell
0
vwma_sell_count_14
13.0
vwma_sell_count_30
19.0
vwma_sell_count_7
6.0
xs_z_price_vs_roll7
0.9113584753725988
xs_z_roc_30
-0.34575524932084706
xs_z_volatility_30
0.4893260085390204